Week 6 results
How the projections saved before Week 6 games compared with actual points.
QB
6.14pts typical miss
Test average 4.32 ▲ +1.82
- Rank correlation
- 0.35
- Within a typical miss
- 46%
- Top 12 that finished top 12
- 8 of 12
- Did not play
- 77 of 105
RB
3.79pts typical miss
Test average 3.03 ▲ +0.76
- Rank correlation
- 0.71
- Within a typical miss
- 54%
- Top 12 that finished top 12
- 5 of 12
- Did not play
- 101 of 170
WR
3.44pts typical miss
Test average 2.82 ▲ +0.62
- Rank correlation
- 0.63
- Within a typical miss
- 57%
- Top 12 that finished top 12
- 1 of 12
- Did not play
- 166 of 290
TE
3.30pts typical miss
Test average 2.09 ▲ +1.21
- Rank correlation
- 0.58
- Within a typical miss
- 57%
- Top 12 that finished top 12
- 2 of 12
- Did not play
- 108 of 176
K
4.45pts typical miss
Test average 3.78 ▲ +0.67
- Rank correlation
- -0.21
- Within a typical miss
- 46%
- Top 12 that finished top 12
- 6 of 12
- Did not play
- 0 of 28
Quarterbacks
Projected top 12#PlayerProjectedActualMissFinished
- Projected rank 1Josh Allen BUF23.518.3▼ −5.2QB9
- Projected rank 2Brock Purdy SF20.317.4▼ −2.9QB11
- Projected rank 319.816.9▼ −2.9QB12
- Projected rank 419.010.5▼ −8.5QB22
- Projected rank 5Dak Prescott DAL18.611.0▼ −7.6QB20
- Projected rank 6Drake Maye NE18.623.8▲ +5.2QB4
- Projected rank 7Jordan Love GB18.420.2▲ +1.8QB6
- Projected rank 8Trevor Lawrence JAX17.028.3▲ +11.3QB1
- Projected rank 9Kirk Cousins LV16.319.5▲ +3.2QB8
- Projected rank 10Tyler Shough NO15.927.0▲ +11.1QB2
- Projected rank 11Jacoby Brissett ARI15.86.9▼ −8.9QB25
- Projected rank 12Jalen Hurts PHI15.3DNP––
Running backs
Projected top 12#PlayerProjectedActualMissFinished
- Projected rank 1Bijan Robinson ATL16.66.3▼ −10.3RB28
- Projected rank 216.526.2▲ +9.7RB1
- Projected rank 3Javonte Williams DAL14.812.0▼ −2.8RB15
- Projected rank 414.78.2▼ −6.5RB21
- Projected rank 5James Cook BUF14.622.8▲ +8.2RB2
- Projected rank 6Jonathan Taylor IND14.520.1▲ +5.6RB5
- Projected rank 7Jaylen Warren PIT13.38.8▼ −4.5RB20
- Projected rank 8Derrick Henry BAL12.94.5▼ −8.4RB35
- Projected rank 912.1DNP––
- Projected rank 10D'Andre Swift CHI11.221.0▲ +9.8RB4
- Projected rank 1110.23.6▼ −6.6RB39
- Projected rank 1210.113.8▲ +3.7RB8
Wide receivers
Projected top 12#PlayerProjectedActualMissFinished
- Projected rank 1Puka Nacua LA15.411.0▼ −4.4WR22
- Projected rank 214.320.4▲ +6.1WR3
- Projected rank 312.77.9▼ −4.8WR35
- Projected rank 4Drake London ATL11.910.2▼ −1.7WR28
- Projected rank 5Chris Olave NO11.512.3▲ +0.8WR17
- Projected rank 6Zay Flowers BAL11.49.7▼ −1.7WR29
- Projected rank 711.05.4▼ −5.6WR49
- Projected rank 8George Pickens DAL10.910.3▼ −0.6WR27
- Projected rank 9Garrett Wilson NYJ10.06.4▼ −3.6WR42
- Projected rank 10Nico Collins HOU9.99.4▼ −0.5WR30
- Projected rank 11CeeDee Lamb DAL9.811.5▲ +1.7WR20
- Projected rank 129.48.4▼ −1.0WR34
Tight ends
Projected top 12#PlayerProjectedActualMissFinished
- Projected rank 1Brock Bowers LV10.79.0▼ −1.7TE14
- Projected rank 2Trey McBride ARI10.78.8▼ −1.9TE15
- Projected rank 310.015.4▲ +5.4TE5
- Projected rank 4Tyler Warren IND9.3DNP––
- Projected rank 5Isaiah Likely NYG7.820.9▲ +13.1TE1
- Projected rank 6Travis Kelce KC7.67.3▼ −0.3TE17
- Projected rank 7Tucker Kraft GB7.26.2▼ −1.0TE22
- Projected rank 8Brenton Strange JAX7.06.9▼ −0.1TE19
- Projected rank 9Harold Fannin CLE6.9DNP––
- Projected rank 10Dallas Goedert PHI6.79.1▲ +2.4TE13
- Projected rank 116.60.0▼ −6.6TE51
- Projected rank 12Pat Freiermuth PIT6.62.1▼ −4.5TE34
Kickers
Projected top 12#PlayerProjectedActualMissFinished
- Projected rank 1Spencer Shrader IND10.29.0▼ −1.2K12
- Projected rank 2Tyler Bass BUF9.317.0▲ +7.7K3
- Projected rank 3Cameron Dicker LAC8.96.0▼ −2.9K22
- Projected rank 4Nick Folk ATL8.91.0▼ −7.9K27
- Projected rank 5Blake Grupe LA8.84.0▼ −4.8K23
- Projected rank 6Brandon Aubrey DAL8.71.0▼ −7.7K27
- Projected rank 78.511.5▲ +3.0K10
- Projected rank 8Chris Boswell PIT8.417.0▲ +8.6K3
- Projected rank 9Cam Little JAX8.29.0▲ +0.8K12
- Projected rank 10Matt Gay LV8.112.0▲ +3.9K8
- Projected rank 11Eddy Pineiro SF8.04.0▼ −4.0K23
- Projected rank 12Cairo Santos CHI7.98.5▲ +0.6K15
Biggest misses
Projected 7+ pts#PlayerProjectedActualMissPos
- Miss 1Malik Nabers NYG9.223.5▲ +14.3WR
- Miss 2Bhayshul Tuten JAX9.122.7▲ +13.6RB
- Miss 3Isaiah Likely NYG7.820.9▲ +13.1TE
- Miss 48.120.4▲ +12.3WR
- Miss 5Chad Ryland ARI7.619.0▲ +11.4K
- Miss 6Trevor Lawrence JAX17.028.3▲ +11.3QB
- Miss 7Tyler Shough NO15.927.0▲ +11.1QB
- Miss 8Bijan Robinson ATL16.66.3▼ −10.3RB
- Miss 9Chuba Hubbard CAR9.519.6▲ +10.1RB
- Miss 10C.J. Stroud HOU14.124.0▲ +9.9QB